Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.093696 0.101143 0.109058 0.118123 0.128250 0.139252 0.152160
2024-10-20 0.079502 0.089450 0.100649 0.114287 0.130582 0.149600 0.173732
2024-10-27 0.070536 0.081655 0.094682 0.111262 0.132080 0.157741 0.192385
2024-11-03 0.067497 0.080120 0.095445 0.115747 0.142446 0.177120 0.226896
2024-11-10 0.065611 0.079606 0.097138 0.121218 0.154260 0.199344 0.268049
2024-11-17 0.062050 0.076563 0.095195 0.121522 0.158908 0.212029 0.297178
2024-11-24 0.058232 0.072844 0.091980 0.119666 0.160131 0.219667 0.319438
2024-12-01 0.054697 0.069228 0.088588 0.117179 0.160042 0.225107 0.338675
2024-12-08 0.051207 0.065444 0.084684 0.113594 0.157882 0.226947 0.351894
2024-12-15 0.049046 0.063343 0.082967 0.113016 0.160166 0.235953 0.378803
2024-12-22 0.046758 0.060928 0.080638 0.111315 0.160466 0.241610 0.400316
2024-12-29 0.045516 0.059915 0.080246 0.112490 0.165422 0.255613 0.440044
2025-01-05 0.042823 0.056809 0.076791 0.108946 0.162750 0.256764 0.456102
2025-01-12 0.040364 0.053949 0.073576 0.105612 0.160227 0.258071 0.473259
2025-01-19 0.038273 0.051525 0.070880 0.102910 0.158533 0.260691 0.493861
2025-01-26 0.038012 0.051784 0.072263 0.106942 0.169063 0.288122 0.578182
2025-02-02 0.037951 0.052325 0.074095 0.111847 0.181711 0.321861 0.688888
2025-02-09 0.036861 0.051235 0.073275 0.112120 0.185643 0.337953 0.758324
2025-02-16 0.035441 0.049566 0.071432 0.110457 0.185628 0.345369 0.805415
2025-02-23 0.034001 0.047807 0.069352 0.108227 0.184268 0.349540 0.844153
2025-03-02 0.032456 0.045821 0.066813 0.105009 0.180627 0.347926 0.864288
2025-03-09 0.031530 0.044781 0.065788 0.104489 0.182488 0.359718 0.933131
2025-03-16 0.030468 0.043483 0.064271 0.102961 0.182086 0.365908 0.984942